Fed policy
July PPI Due Today as Fed Grapples With Rate-Hike Decision
The Producer Price Index for July 2026 drops into markets today at 8:30 a.m. ET, and crypto traders are watching closely after yesterday’s tame Consumer Price Index reading failed to settle the Fed’s inflation debate or clarify rate-hike odds heading into September. With futures markets pricing a 72 percent probability of a rate increase at...
July CPI Tomorrow: Make-or-Break Test for Fed Rate Hikes
The Consumer Price Index for July releases tomorrow at 8:30 A.M. Eastern Time, marking the most critical near-term catalyst for cryptocurrency markets and Fed policy expectations. Bitcoin is consolidating near $64,000 ahead of the data print, while three FOMC voting members already favor rate hikes—a number that could expand if inflation shows signs of reacceleration....
Here’s What Happened in Crypto Today
Bitcoin surged above $65,000 following weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data that dramatically reduced Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, while Ethereum spot trading volume exceeded Bitcoin for the first time this month amid a broadening rally across major altcoins. The moves underscored growing investor appetite for risk assets as monetary policy headwinds ease, even as critical infrastructure...
Weak Jobs Data Sends Bitcoin Above $65K as Fed Rate Hike Odds Collapse
Bitcoin surged above $65,000 on August 8 as markets responded to a significantly weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report for July, prompting investors to reassess Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations. The nonfarm payrolls data showed 23,000 jobs lost instead of the 80,000 new positions economists had anticipated, a miss that rippled through risk asset markets and reignited demand...
Bitcoin Drops as Fed Rate-Hike Odds Hit 72% for September
Bitcoin Slides Near $62,700 as Fed Rate-Hike Odds Surge to 72% for September, Weighing on Risk Assets Futures markets now price a 72% probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, a dramatic shift from weeks prior that has dampened investor appetite for cryptocurrencies and other risk assets. Bitcoin traded...
Bitcoin Slumps Below $65K as Trump Tariffs Trigger $162M Liquidations
Bitcoin tumbled below $65,000 on July 24 as the Trump administration implemented sweeping tariffs covering 60 countries and 99 percent of U.S. trade, reigniting inflation concerns and pressuring risk assets across markets. The tariff announcement triggered immediate liquidations totaling $162 million in the crypto space while equities sold off sharply, with the Nasdaq Composite falling...
Here’s What Happened in Crypto Today
Bitcoin retreated below recent highs on Wednesday as oil prices spiked and inflation concerns resurfaced ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, offsetting earlier optimism from returning ETF inflows. Meanwhile, a surprise Senate deal on crypto regulation lifted the odds of the Clarity Act reaching a vote to 72%, marking a significant breakthrough in Washington’s...
Bitcoin Holds $65K on Fed Hopes as ETF Inflows Return Ahead of FOMC
Bitcoin has extended its consolidation phase above the $65,000 level, buoyed by cooler inflation data and accelerating regulatory progress, but the market remains laser-focused on the Federal Reserve’s July 28-29 meeting as the decisive catalyst for the next major move. With the Fed now priced at 94% probability of holding rates steady and spot Bitcoin...
Bitcoin Retreats on Oil Spike and Inflation Fears Ahead of Fed Meeting
Bitcoin pulled back sharply overnight as surging oil prices and renewed inflation concerns sparked a broad retreat from risk assets, with the flagship cryptocurrency surrendering Tuesday’s gains to settle near $65,877 by late Wednesday. The pullback reflects a classic risk-off reversal that has left market participants divided between residual bullish momentum and mounting macro headwinds...
Fed Chair Warsh Crushes Rate-Cut Hopes Despite Dovish CPI Print
Fed Chair Warsh’s hawkish pivot has substantially dampened cryptocurrency markets despite a surprisingly dovish June CPI report, leaving Bitcoin and Ethereum struggling to maintain gains heading into the July 29 Federal Reserve decision. The inflation data released on July 14 showed headline CPI falling 0.4% month-over-month—the largest monthly decline since April 2020—yet Fed leadership’s refusal...
CPI Miss Lifts Bitcoin as Fed Stays Hawkish on Rate Hikes
US inflation data released on July 14 surprised markets to the downside, with headline CPI landing at 3.5% year-over-year against a 3.8% consensus forecast. However, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s subsequent hawkish testimony kept rate-cut expectations firmly in check, creating a bifurcated market reaction where crypto rallied hard on the inflation miss while fixed-income traders...
Iran War Scare, Inflation Data Collide as Bitcoin Plunges Below $62,500
The cryptocurrency market is in freefall as geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran collide with expectations for critical inflation data due at 8:30 a.m. ET today, July 14, 2026. Bitcoin has fallen below $62,500, institutional investors are pulling billions from crypto assets, and the Fear and Greed Index has plummeted to extreme fear...